Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
Across Illinois Counties
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth across all of Illinois' 102 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Illinois Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth of Illinois' 102 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
This figure displays the 102 counties of Illinois as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 12.96%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 12.96% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (12.96%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 28 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 46 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 30 counties whose most recent (2022) real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (-54.17%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 44 counties whose real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 102 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 12.96% over 2010-2022 and -54.17% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (12.96%) and near-term (-54.17%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (12.96%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Illinois average (-54.17%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (12.96%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (-54.17%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (12.96%) and near-term (-54.17%).
   
 
Summary of Illinois' 102 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(-54.17%)
Above
(-54.17%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(12.96%)
21
7
28
Below
(12.96%)
23
23
46
 
44
30
74
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Illinois counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Illinois' average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 12.96%) as well as near-term (2022 = -54.17%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Illinois' 102 counties, just 7 (7%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 21 Illinois counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 12.96%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = -54.17%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 21 (21%) of Illinois' 102 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
This figure shows the distribution of the 23 Illinois counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 12.96%), while they outpaced Illinois' average near-term (2022 = -54.17%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Illinois' 102 counties, 23% (23) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 12.96%
2022 = -54.17%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 23 Illinois counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 12.96%) as well as near-term (2022 = -54.17%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real real estate and rental and leasing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
23% of Illinois' counties, 23 of 102, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Illinois
Real* Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
17
17.50
 
26
-49.17
1,310,891
 
8
21.65
 
21
-43.84
8,219
 
6
21.93
 
3
-10.42
15,492
 
4
27.69
 
31
-53.09
239,872
 
7
21.91
 
8
-31.67
25,894
 
26
14.75
 
25
-46.24
5,243
 
24
15.16
 
29
-51.97
296,111
Slipping Counties
 
25
14.98
 
52
-64.74
11,175
 
23
15.43
 
66
-69.64
7,549
 
18
16.63
 
79
-73.49
4,088
 
14
18.81
 
85
-79.53
18,507
 
22
15.58
 
33
-54.48
4,378,866
 
27
14.43
 
65
-69.31
1,691
 
15
18.62
 
39
-59.82
36,880
 
10
20.87
 
78
-72.81
6,293
 
19
16.24
 
64
-69.19
3,818
 
16
17.93
 
46
-62.18
53,171
 
2
30.84
 
44
-61.46
33,925
 
9
21.23
 
42
-60.95
16,526
 
12
19.98
 
76
-72.61
8,874
 
13
19.04
 
69
-70.79
1,413
 
5
25.99
 
77
-72.62
3,126
 
1
44.51
 
58
-66.73
25,646
 
28
14.18
 
56
-65.75
4,189
 
3
29.98
 
72
-71.46
19,669
 
20
16.05
 
80
-74.94
3,899
 
11
20.85
 
67
-70.11
1,289
 
21
15.60
 
75
-72.29
8,291
Gaining Counties
 
69
4.07
 
20
-43.79
36,776
 
70
3.95
 
10
-36.23
308
 
60
5.25
 
17
-42.94
752
 
62
5.05
 
2
-10.02
94,728
 
44
9.78
 
18
-43.49
8,263
 
31
12.59
 
13
-38.88
4,318
 
41
10.25
 
12
-38.06
4,071
 
66
4.45
 
4
-13.81
4,631
 
74
-1.01
 
11
-37.20
844
 
68
4.24
 
6
-25.63
15,910
 
42
10.22
 
9
-33.46
31,737
 
50
8.64
 
22
-43.85
21,647
 
71
2.71
 
19
-43.68
4,688
 
35
11.20
 
30
-52.73
90,956
 
65
4.60
 
15
-41.99
71,972
 
34
11.32
 
5
-17.74
5,220
 
56
6.52
 
7
-30.48
57,331
 
53
7.97
 
24
-45.97
76,586
 
54
7.59
 
1
27.48
3,776
 
57
6.44
 
14
-40.49
7,894
 
63
4.96
 
32
-53.47
1,582
 
73
0.90
 
16
-42.04
13,882
 
40
10.27
 
27
-50.17
88,804
Lagging Counties
 
30
12.67
 
37
-58.27
3,059
 
67
4.29
 
34
-55.12
24,223
 
46
9.40
 
54
-65.22
1,806
 
45
9.64
 
48
-62.91
4,481
 
52
8.11
 
35
-56.42
4,318
 
29
12.72
 
73
-71.83
6,635
 
49
8.84
 
74
-72.00
3,557
 
48
8.84
 
43
-61.01
10,682
 
39
10.32
 
50
-63.50
305,633
 
72
2.23
 
40
-60.41
726
 
47
9.40
 
60
-66.94
5,985
 
55
6.71
 
36
-57.90
37,402
 
33
11.62
 
68
-70.58
6,594
 
37
10.71
 
53
-65.02
5,771
 
64
4.76
 
51
-63.65
1,522
 
58
6.34
 
41
-60.89
82,546
 
32
11.76
 
62
-68.64
4,300
 
61
5.16
 
45
-61.71
92,068
 
59
5.36
 
38
-59.02
38,816
 
38
10.57
 
59
-66.81
2,060
 
36
11.07
 
49
-63.01
13,750
 
43
9.96
 
71
-71.14
4,969
 
51
8.63
 
47
-62.47
6,426
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
433
 
U
U
 
83
-77.09
246
 
U
U
 
28
-50.27
15,177
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-68.92
1,151
 
U
U
 
84
-77.23
102
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,586
 
U
U
 
82
-76.82
274
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
70
-70.79
503
 
U
U
 
S
S
960
 
U
U
 
S
S
81,020
 
U
U
 
23
-45.21
1,916
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
7,301
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
81
-75.89
12,276
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
57
-65.99
959
 
U
U
 
55
-65.55
700
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,879
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
61
-68.60
1,686
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12.96
 
-54.17
8,002,640
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8.71
 
1.66
389,364,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611100_LSGL
 
   
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