Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Transportation and Warehousing Earnings Growth
Across Illinois Counties
Real* Transportation and Warehousing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Transportation and Warehousing
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real transportation and warehousing earnings growth across all of Illinois' 102 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Illinois Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real transportation and warehousing earnings growth of Illinois' 102 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Transportation and Warehousing
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Transportation and Warehousing
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
This figure displays the 102 counties of Illinois as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real transportation and warehousing earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.92%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.92% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.92%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 14 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 22 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 14 counties whose most recent (2022) real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.86%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 22 counties whose real transportation and warehousing earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 102 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.92% over 2010-2022 and 5.86% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.92%) and near-term (5.86%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.92%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Illinois average (5.86%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.92%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.86%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.92%) and near-term (5.86%).
   
 
Summary of Illinois' 102 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.86%)
Above
(5.86%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.92%)
8
6
14
Below
(4.92%)
14
8
22
 
22
14
36
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Illinois counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Illinois' average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.92%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.86%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Illinois' 102 counties, just 6 (6%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 8 Illinois counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.92%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 5.86%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 8 (8%) of Illinois' 102 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
This figure shows the distribution of the 8 Illinois counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.92%), while they outpaced Illinois' average near-term (2022 = 5.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Illinois' 102 counties, only 8% (8) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 4.92%
2022 = 5.86%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 14 Illinois counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.92%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.86%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real transportation and warehousing earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
14% of Illinois' counties, 14 of 102, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Illinois
Real* Transportation and Warehousing Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
11
5.24
 
14
7.99
3,541,815
 
3
9.29
 
15
6.69
207,627
 
9
5.62
 
1
63.29
5,413
 
5
6.45
 
4
16.39
237,084
 
4
8.08
 
16
6.68
664,772
 
1
12.22
 
13
8.91
2,587,572
Slipping Counties
 
14
4.96
 
32
2.65
102,715
 
7
6.28
 
25
4.53
70,676
 
8
5.85
 
38
1.50
113,150
 
13
5.03
 
55
-4.28
16,176
 
12
5.09
 
37
1.62
551,723
 
6
6.36
 
53
-2.68
208,910
 
2
10.74
 
28
3.29
863,145
 
10
5.31
 
49
-1.35
21,624
Gaining Counties
 
15
4.84
 
18
6.13
16,648,456
 
36
-1.91
 
8
12.98
9,107
 
32
0.34
 
7
13.11
30,326
 
18
4.34
 
12
9.74
90,424
 
25
1.44
 
9
12.63
23,920
 
23
2.44
 
10
10.01
316,038
 
20
3.36
 
19
6.00
116,773
 
21
3.28
 
17
6.15
57,623
Lagging Counties
 
17
4.69
 
43
0.12
147,498
 
16
4.71
 
26
4.27
31,602
 
33
-0.01
 
29
2.93
15,262
 
19
3.41
 
46
-0.91
4,588
 
24
2.41
 
21
4.96
36,863
 
31
0.34
 
34
2.22
104,063
 
26
1.04
 
47
-1.03
122,101
 
28
0.89
 
41
1.15
266,158
 
34
-0.11
 
61
-9.33
86,476
 
29
0.70
 
33
2.27
104,488
 
27
0.91
 
51
-2.36
117,622
 
30
0.38
 
58
-5.09
14,799
 
22
2.45
 
31
2.68
554,092
 
35
-1.02
 
54
-3.62
7,684
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
-2.14
26,460
 
U
U
 
2
21.55
44,884
 
U
U
 
40
1.25
223,225
 
U
U
 
48
-1.14
24,415
 
U
U
 
35
1.96
17,580
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
45
-0.54
33,967
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
65
-21.11
11,674
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
62
-9.99
13,325
 
U
U
 
20
5.92
27,570
 
U
U
 
42
0.81
16,927
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
24
4.75
2,159
 
U
U
 
64
-11.33
41,649
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
56
-4.35
11,036
 
U
U
 
S
S
26,729
 
U
U
 
S
S
5,182
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
27
3.60
27,411
 
U
U
 
44
0.10
66,443
 
U
U
 
60
-7.87
37,864
 
U
U
 
57
-5.03
11,914
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
22
4.95
194,294
 
U
U
 
3
17.01
12,591
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
21,875
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
30
2.72
47,474
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
66
-30.37
133
 
U
U
 
39
1.37
6,636
 
U
U
 
23
4.85
22,270
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
135,594
 
U
U
 
63
-10.05
4,530
 
U
U
 
59
-7.32
11,023
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
9.85
10,861
 
U
U
 
52
-2.56
39,032
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
13.94
26,301
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
36
1.89
117,558
 
U
U
 
6
13.42
483,182
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.92
 
5.86
31,222,858
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.30
 
9.85
638,088,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610800_LSGL
 
   
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