Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Earnings Growth
Across Illinois Counties
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 3.12%
2022 = 4.11%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real retail trade earnings growth across all of Illinois' 102 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Illinois Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real retail trade earnings growth of Illinois' 102 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Illinois:
2010-2022 = 3.12%
2022 = 4.11%
This figure displays the 102 counties of Illinois as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real retail trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real retail trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 3.12%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.12% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (3.12%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 0 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 0 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 0 counties whose most recent (2022) real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.11%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 0 counties whose real retail trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 102 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 3.12% over 2010-2022 and 4.11% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (3.12%) and near-term (4.11%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.12%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Illinois average (4.11%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (3.12%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.11%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (3.12%) and near-term (4.11%).
   
 
Summary of Illinois' 102 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.11%)
Above
(4.11%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.12%)
0
0
0
Below
(3.12%)
0
0
0
 
0
0
0
 
   
   
 
Illinois
Real* Retail Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
3
5.73
 
23
6.26
14,151
 
28
3.32
 
5
13.07
4,758
 
12
4.60
 
24
6.25
22,051
 
11
4.67
 
15
7.39
86,635
 
13
4.20
 
25
6.09
125,058
 
18
3.75
 
47
4.15
12,612,086
 
9
5.06
 
27
5.81
258,389
 
26
3.38
 
28
5.78
135,806
 
4
5.67
 
10
8.70
7,918
 
8
5.08
 
7
9.34
123,978
 
33
3.15
 
22
6.53
633,911
 
20
3.60
 
36
5.34
476,153
 
29
3.32
 
35
5.40
9,420
 
34
3.12
 
44
4.39
80,596
 
32
3.17
 
19
6.95
68,226
 
7
5.12
 
1
55.24
10,465
 
5
5.59
 
4
23.76
11,986
 
16
3.87
 
34
5.44
335,359
 
23
3.43
 
43
4.53
20,476
 
17
3.80
 
13
7.78
56,733
 
24
3.41
 
38
5.26
163,789
 
6
5.42
 
31
5.74
68,891
Slipping Counties
 
2
8.08
 
97
0.25
54,713
 
1
10.70
 
61
3.44
209,539
 
31
3.27
 
81
2.14
17,325
 
30
3.31
 
90
1.38
99,325
 
10
4.74
 
56
3.72
231,161
 
15
3.96
 
79
2.44
3,053,555
 
22
3.44
 
50
4.05
57,225
 
21
3.45
 
55
3.77
60,259
 
25
3.40
 
57
3.66
15,959
 
19
3.62
 
82
2.06
3,574
 
27
3.33
 
71
3.17
51,521
 
14
4.01
 
69
3.21
1,443,620
Gaining Counties
 
58
2.01
 
42
4.73
194,918
 
94
-3.95
 
3
23.97
1,934
 
37
3.05
 
17
7.07
60,807
 
44
2.72
 
48
4.13
33,354
 
76
1.07
 
8
9.27
36,748
 
57
2.09
 
40
4.98
3,161,242
 
40
2.87
 
9
9.17
6,938
 
54
2.31
 
2
27.13
13,893
 
53
2.45
 
37
5.27
37,028
 
39
3.03
 
41
4.83
40,371
 
43
2.80
 
12
7.80
1,065,022
 
84
0.62
 
45
4.30
12,964
 
73
1.11
 
14
7.67
43,231
 
81
0.74
 
32
5.63
54,099
 
75
1.07
 
11
7.97
55,206
 
72
1.20
 
6
12.05
13,788
 
46
2.70
 
21
6.62
57,944
 
62
1.77
 
20
6.72
63,959
 
66
1.63
 
29
5.75
30,256
 
56
2.10
 
18
6.97
122,618
 
92
-0.13
 
46
4.27
14,154
 
87
0.44
 
39
5.22
107,041
Lagging Counties
 
65
1.71
 
93
0.80
14,538
 
86
0.44
 
88
1.46
15,828
 
85
0.56
 
74
2.62
409,026
 
71
1.21
 
87
1.55
50,295
 
70
1.37
 
95
0.76
17,332
 
42
2.83
 
94
0.78
17,852
 
69
1.41
 
67
3.30
22,367
 
52
2.46
 
52
3.88
30,339
 
95
-4.13
 
86
1.69
14,706
 
88
0.42
 
85
1.89
49,926
 
61
1.93
 
76
2.49
44,919
 
49
2.57
 
80
2.34
72,315
 
45
2.71
 
68
3.22
45,076
 
91
-0.07
 
98
0.16
111,524
 
55
2.20
 
100
-4.03
8,872
 
93
-0.23
 
54
3.79
5,620
 
67
1.62
 
83
2.01
214,886
 
89
0.11
 
91
1.22
94,551
 
74
1.07
 
51
4.03
238,703
 
77
1.05
 
84
1.94
208,956
 
48
2.66
 
63
3.39
555,784
 
80
0.75
 
89
1.46
10,721
 
68
1.54
 
99
-0.91
8,532
 
35
3.10
 
70
3.20
14,327
 
64
1.77
 
72
2.85
59,271
 
90
-0.01
 
92
1.12
14,318
 
47
2.70
 
64
3.34
438,560
 
78
0.99
 
73
2.80
21,139
 
82
0.63
 
59
3.58
18,682
 
79
0.98
 
96
0.50
327,747
 
50
2.50
 
65
3.34
531,022
 
38
3.03
 
75
2.60
508,294
 
83
0.63
 
66
3.32
2,865
 
60
1.94
 
53
3.83
25,694
 
41
2.85
 
62
3.43
73,095
 
63
1.77
 
58
3.62
27,097
 
59
1.99
 
49
4.09
25,476
 
51
2.48
 
77
2.49
30,242
 
36
3.10
 
78
2.47
641,527
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
30
5.74
3,884
 
U
U
 
33
5.45
47,382
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
60
3.44
2,225
 
U
U
 
26
5.88
3,260
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
7.19
6,637
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.12
 
4.11
30,940,442
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.97
 
3.04
861,699,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610700_LSGL
 
   
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